Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.645366 0.803957 0.973458 1.166249 1.377742 1.601175 1.853606
2025-02-23 0.413575 0.626809 0.875932 1.179477 1.531636 1.920881 2.377707
2025-03-02 0.265355 0.486984 0.767460 1.128323 1.564156 2.060630 2.657398
2025-03-09 0.158515 0.370748 0.665342 1.066072 1.568745 2.156908 2.878406
2025-03-16 0.095239 0.294565 0.598976 1.034578 1.598731 2.273138 3.113513
2025-03-23 0.063745 0.257899 0.579740 1.058477 1.692881 2.462582 3.431865
2025-03-30 0.037425 0.218241 0.548806 1.061308 1.756403 2.612051 3.700502
2025-04-06 0.016763 0.175157 0.504444 1.039807 1.784364 2.714895 3.910893
2025-04-13 0.010042 0.164165 0.511040 1.089885 1.905542 2.932822 4.260012
2025-04-20 0.005376 0.154333 0.517695 1.138927 2.024706 3.147939 4.605677
2025-04-27 0.002677 0.148230 0.529877 1.195578 2.153818 3.375524 4.966707
2025-05-04 0.001923 0.153481 0.563791 1.285538 2.328526 3.661224 5.399475
2025-05-11 0.000422 0.145429 0.573398 1.342521 2.464904 3.906921 5.794465
2025-05-18 NaN 0.126354 0.558169 1.360346 2.548205 4.086668 6.110914
2025-05-25 NaN 0.091193 0.499625 1.304149 2.524963 4.126962 6.252399
2025-06-01 NaN 0.060206 0.438372 1.237077 2.482163 4.138979 6.356327
2025-06-08 NaN 0.041485 0.399438 1.202894 2.482974 4.205087 6.525289
2025-06-15 NaN 0.035140 0.395225 1.228803 2.570875 4.385715 6.838481
2025-06-22 NaN 0.026572 0.379210 1.231864 2.624257 4.520108 7.092925
2025-06-29 NaN 0.016693 0.350369 1.208574 2.636905 4.599262 7.276584
2025-07-06 NaN 0.016004 0.362305 1.262794 2.766362 4.835212 7.660343
2025-07-13 NaN 0.015250 0.373609 1.315807 2.894108 5.069053 8.041685
2025-07-20 NaN 0.015275 0.389034 1.376948 3.034371 5.319977 8.445162